News

APAC Freight Market Update: December 12th, 2025

18
December
2025
  • CEO Update:Wistech Pricing Model
  • Australia
  • Asia Market
  • USA/Canada Market
  • Europe Market
  • Airfreight Update
  • General News
  • Interesting Articles

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There has been a lot of talk recently about the new Wisetech price hikes and the uncertainty that it has created in the market. The changes to their pricing structure has caught their customers, and market in general, off guard with forwarders caught in the dilemma of on-forwarding the charges to their end customers directly (which in a lot of cases is the default setting) or eating the charges with the hope the price rise doesn't destroy their margins. The speed and opaqueness at which this has been rolled out is compounding the issue. Long story short, there are no good options for Wisetech’s customers. Wisetech has chosen to flex its muscles to the market and there is no looking back now. They will soon find out if their transition from a SaaS business model to an infrastructure business model charging a tax on the shipments they power, will work.

For Explorate customers there will be no “Cargo Automation Fee” appearing on your invoices all of a sudden. We do not rely on Cargowise for our billing or forwarding and transparency and predictability have been (and always will be) at our core. We are transparent with our pricing and for those using our SaaS features we will not be changing our pricing any time soon. We build great supply chains powered by data and trust. Unlike Explorate, Wisetech is certainly eroding that trust at an unprecedented rate which is a shame given its standing in the Australian market.

So to try and bring some clarity to the chaos that is occurring, if you are a shipper and your forwarder uses Cargowise (about 70% in Australia do) please reach out to them to find out if you will be impacted by the changes. Please be kind, this is a real cost for them.

If you are a forwarder, please reach out to me. I'm happy to help (while we don't build software for other forwarders to run as their core OS, we do help forwarders with how they can improve their customer experience) or be a shoulder to cry on. Sometimes those outside our industry don't know how much we have to lean on each other to keep freight moving.

Finally, if you are Cargowise (some Cargowise peeps do subscribe to our newsletter), please do better. Your customers have a hard job to do, please stop making it harder.

Conor Hagan, Co-Founder and Co-CEO at Explorate

What's Happening in Global Freight:

The market’s found its footing… for now. Rates have steadied between USD 1000–1,700 per TEU across the CN-AU market.

Premium carriers are still holding higher, but with load factors strong and blank sailings tightening space, that calm could flip quickly once demand picks up mid-month.

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Global Freight Trends

Our expert tips:

  1. Move now, not later: The first half of December is your sweet spot - rates are undervalued, and space is still available. If those blank sailings catch up and carriers push through their GRIs (USD 300–600 per box), you’ll be paying more for the same lane.
  2. Diversify your carrier mix: Don’t rely solely on premium carriers this round. The budget alliances are offering great value ex-South China - particularly from Shenzhen and Nansha - and transit times remain competitive.
  3. Keep your eyes on mid-month shifts: Carriers will reassess pricing around the second week of December when vessels return and space pressure peaks. Expect upward adjustments if even a mild shipment rush emerges. We also have the Chinese New Year looming in February, which will create a last-minute rush for volume prior to factory closures.
  4. Use the lull to your advantage: If you can pre-book or pull forward cargo, do it now. Locking in capacity early December will help dodge both the rate spike and the scramble later in the month.
  5. Stay close to the updates: This market’s changing fast. I’ll keep consolidating rate movements as they happen - because in this climate, the best-informed importers are the ones who win the freight game.

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Ports across Australia are feeling the usual end-of-year pressure. Weather, congestion and BMSB season are slowing operations, with more FCL containers being held for inspection and longer processing times across key terminals.

Wharf and road congestion are adding further delays, with containers taking longer to clear and move through the network. This can push out planned on-site dates and delivery windows during an already busy period.

To stay ahead, allow extra lead time, share critical delivery dates early and consider moving cargo sooner to avoid bottlenecks

  • Brisbane: Minor delays driven by higher BMSB inspection volumes, adding around 1 to 2 days.
  • Sydney: Berthing delays, terminal congestion and weather disruptions leading to delays between 3-4 days.
  • Melbourne: Expect delays of 1 to 2 days, influenced by recent industrial action and BMSB checks. Weather has also reduced throughput.
  • Fremantle: Ongoing port omissions and terminal congestion continue to cause extended wait times, at times up to 5 days.
  • Adelaide: Minimal delays and steady operations.

Full container empty notification and collection: A reminder to allow 3 full business days (72 hours) for empty container collection. Please note that the day of notification will not be counted if the request is after 10am.

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North East Asia: Freight Market Overview

The NEA market has turned upward. Reduced capacity shifted the load mix, and bookings have started to rebound, prompting budget carriers to lift rates for the second half of December.

Even so, the market still sits softer than first expected, shaped by early-month overcorrections, thin inventories at key lines, and added forward capacity from certain carriers' new services in 2026.

Ocean Freight Rates

Northeast Asia to Australia Ocean Freight Rates. Source: Explorate
Click image to view live data

  • Budget Services: Approx. USD 1,100 / USD 2,200
  • Mid Tier Services: Holding around USD 1,250 / USD 2,500
  • Premium Services: Sitting at USD 1,400 / 2,800

Capacity and Schedule Reliability

Northeast Asia to Australia Ocean Freight Transit Times. Source: Explorate
Click image to view live data

  • Carriers are managing capacity with a decrease in demand.  However, congestion and delays at port calls are causing port rotations and omissions as the carriers aim to keep schedule reliability.
  • Singapore and Port Klang port congestion still affecting transhipment bookings by around 1 week.

South East Asia: Freight Market Overview

Rates across SE Asia remain steady into the second half of December. Export demand is still holding, but reliability is still under pressure mainly due to transhipment congestion.

These conditions look set to persist through late December, so plan delivery timelines early where stock coverage is tight.

Ocean Freight Rates

Southeast Asia to Australia Ocean Freight Rates. Source: Explorate
Click image to view live data

  • Budget Services: Around USD 900 / 1,800 Mid Tier Services:
  • Mid Tier Services: Holding at USD 1,100 / 2,200
  • Premium Services: Sitting higher at USD 1,300 / 2,600

Capacity and Schedule Reliability

SouthEast Asia to Australia Ocean Freight Transit Times. Source: Explorate
Click image to view live data

  • Carriers are managing capacity with a decrease in demand.  However, congestion and delays at port calls is causing port rotations and omissions as the carriers aim to keep schedule reliability.
  • Singapore and Port Klang port congestion still affecting transhipment bookings by around 1 week.

South East Asia: Freight Market Overview

Rates across SE Asia remain steady into the second half of December. Export demand is still holding, but reliability is still under pressure mainly due to transhipment congestion.

These conditions look set to persist through late December, so plan delivery timelines early where stock coverage is tight.

Ocean Freight Rates

Southeast Asia to Australia Ocean Freight Rates. Source: Explorate
Click image to view live data

  • Budget Services: Around USD 900 / 1,800 Mid Tier Services:
  • Mid Tier Services: Holding at USD 1,100 / 2,200
  • Premium Services: Sitting higher at USD 1,300 / 2,600

Capacity and Schedule Reliability

SouthEast Asia to Australia Ocean Freight Transit Times. Source: Explorate
Click image to view live data

  • Capacity out of SE Asia is stable with consistent weekly sailings and no major uplift issues at origin.
  • Reliability is still variable due to congestion at Singapore and Port Klang. Origin ports are flowing well, but onward connections are creating inconsistent transit times.

ASIA: The Bottom Line

The Asia market is steady but tightening. NE Asia is lifting as capacity pulls back, and SE Asia is holding firm with some delays through key hubs.

With Chinese New Year on the horizon, we expect space to come under more pressure and rates to edge up through January

ASIA: Action Plan

  • Book early to avoid the CNY rush.
  • Add a buffer where cargo moves through Singapore or Port Klang.
  • Use a mix of budget and mid-tier services to balance value and reliability.
  • Keep an eye on mid-month rate changes.
  • Plan inventory cover into February

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The US–China trade standoff continues to ripple through North American export markets, with retaliatory port fees briefly threatening to escalate costs before a one-year truce was inked on November 1. The pause has eased immediate pressure, but carriers are reassessing fleet deployment and exposure on both sides of the Pacific, which may influence capacity patterns through 2026.

The TPEB trade lane is cruising in calm waters right now; no fireworks, no freefall. Demand’s steady but uninspired, as shippers adopt a classic “wait-and-see” stance after the November tariff chatter fizzled out. It’s less “peak season rush,” more “holiday slowdown with a side of caution.”

Ocean Freight Rates

Ocean freight rates across North America are holding steady, supported by stable demand and disciplined carrier capacity management. However, inland costs, including drayage and intermodal, are creeping upward due to limited trucking availability, driver shortages, and longer equipment turnaround times. Expect incremental rate adjustments through Q1 if inland congestion persists. Source: Maersk

  • Low End: USD 1,500 Per TEU
  • High End: 2,000 Per TEU

Capacity and Schedule Reliability

  • Carriers are keeping over 80% of planned sailings on schedule, a solid sign of reliability despite the flat demand.
  • Space isn’t tight, service levels are consistent, and there’s plenty of room to move if you’re ready to book.

US/CANADA: The Bottom Line

It’s a tale of two networks - the ocean side is smooth, but the inland chain is fraying. The market is stable overall, yet the weakest link lies in post-arrival logistics, where shortages and delays are starting to add up. Shippers that rely heavily on rail or long-haul trucking should plan for longer dwell times and potential knock-on effects into early 2026.

US/CANADA: Action Plan

  • Lock in short-term wins - there’s good value floating around in the spot market.
  • Keep an eye on January’s postponed surcharges and any tariff curveballs.
  • Monitor Chinese and US policy developments closely - the one-year suspension ends in November 2026.
  • Move cargo now while capacity’s plentiful and rates are friendly - because calm seas never last forever.

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Europe: Freight Market Overview

Whilst export rates out of Europe are holding fairly steady into the APAC region, congestion, dwell times, and equipment shortages still remain.

Transit times have remained fairly consistent, as delays continue through key transhipment hubs. The softer-than-anticipated peak season may help ease some of these delays going into early 2026.

Ocean Freight Rates

Europe to Australia Ocean Freight Rates. Source: Explorate.
Click image to view live data

  • Budget Services: Sit around USD 1,000 / USD 2,000
  • Mid Tier Services: Holding at USD 1,300 / USD 2,600
  • Premium Services: Sit higher at USD 1,600 / USD 3,200

Capacity and Schedule Reliability

Europe to Australia Ocean Freight Transit Times. Source: Explorate
Click image to view live data

  • Capacity out of Europe is holding, but reliability is still mixed. Delays through North European hubs and ongoing congestion at Singapore and Port Klang are the main drivers of longer transit times.
  • Equipment shortages are still prevalent in some countries.

EUROPE: The Bottom Line

Despite the last few weeks being consistent from both a rate and capacity side, other challenges are still prevalent.

From an AU import perspective transit times and securing space and equipment are still the key challenges. Hopefully congestion in Port Klang & Singapore will ease and with any luck we may see the Red Sea open up again in 2026.

EUROPE: Action Plan

  • Check equipment availability prior to making bookings.
  • Look for reliable options with available equipment & reasonable transit times, not the cheapest rate.
  • Try and utilise carriers offering more direct sailings to AU.
  • Commence the booking process well ahead of cargo readiness.

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Source: World ACD

Global air cargo rates are showing a subtle but steady lift heading into the year-end stretch. Spot rates from Asia Pacific to the U.S. climbed around 3% week-on-week to roughly USD 5.63/kg, driven mainly by stronger performance out of Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea, and Singapore - while China held flat. Despite the uptick in pricing, total export volumes out of Asia dipped about 2%, signaling that this mini rally is more about rate correction and yield recovery than a genuine demand surge. Southeast Asia and Taiwan continue to hold the strongest trade momentum, keeping the overall Asia-U.S. flow slightly ahead year-on-year.


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Source: World ACD

The airfreight market ex-China to Australia is tightening slightly heading into December, with mixed space availability and mild upward pressure on select routes. While some carriers maintain stable rates, others are adjusting upward due to reduced frequency and limited lift - particularly from Shanghai (PVG) and Beijing (PEK) into Sydney, Melbourne, and Brisbane. Transit reliability remains uneven, with some carriers facing delays and added fees for palletized or bulky cargo.

AIR FREIGHT: The Bottom Line

The airfreight market is entering a mild “holiday hustle” phase - stable, not spectacular. Carriers are testing higher rate thresholds even as demand stays lukewarm, hinting at a market trying to rebalance yield before the traditional January slowdown. It’s not a boom, but it is a tightening, and late movers could find themselves paying more.

AIR FREIGHT: Action Plan

  • Secure uplift early: Lock in capacity for Asia–U.S. lanes before end-of-year rate creep accelerates.
  • Watch the balance: If volumes soften further but rates keep rising, short-term price spikes could follow.
  • Diversify wisely: Origins like Vietnam, Thailand, and Taiwan are still moving well - leverage these corridors if China stays slow.
  • Plan ahead: Expect volatility after New Year’s; use December data as your benchmark for 2026 contract strategy.

Global Market Overview

Global Freight Rates

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World Container Index: Drewry

A small rate rebound and a slide in schedule reliability show a global market finding its feet but still sensitive to operational pressures.

Global container rates lifted this week, with Drewry’s World Container Index rising 7 percent to USD 1,927 per 40ft container. It is a modest uptick, but enough to show the market edging out of its recent lull.

After three weeks of declines, the Transpacific finally saw some lift.

  • Shanghai–Los Angeles: up 8 percent to USD 2,256
  • Shanghai–New York: up 6 percent to USD 2,895

Carriers are leaning into weekly GRIs, using smaller, more frequent adjustments to maintain upward pressure on spot rates. Drewry expects rates to remain stable in the week ahead.

Asia–Europe continues its steadier run, supported by FAK increases ahead of contract talks.

  • Shanghai–Genoa: up 15 percent to USD 2,648
  • Shanghai–Rotterdam: up 4 percent to USD 2,241

Uncertainty around the Suez Canal continues to keep volatility high. A full return to the route would increase capacity and put downward pressure on rates, although any correction would likely be gradual as networks realign. Source: Drewry

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Global Schedule Reliability

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Global schedule reliability slipped in October, falling 3.5 percentage points month-on-month to 61.4 percent. This is only the second significant decline of the year and follows three months of stability. Year-on-year performance remains positive, up 11.1 percentage points. Average delays for late vessel arrivals increased slightly to 4.98 days, still nearly a full day better than this time last year.

Maersk remained the most reliable carrier at 74.1 percent, followed by Hapag-Lloyd at 69.6 percent and MSC at 65.9 percent. Most others sat in the 50 to 60 percent range, with PIL the lowest at 44.9 percent. Source: Sea Intelligence

General News

  • Ports will only offer extra days on the main public holidays (Christmas Day, Boxing Day and New Year’s Day). If storage is needed over this period, please liaise closely with your transport operator. Public holiday surcharges from transport companies will apply.
  • Australian Terminal Infrastructure fees will increase as of 1st January. We will share more detailed updates as we receive them.
  • US imports are expected to drop to their lowest level in more than two years this month. Retailers say tariff uncertainty will keep volumes under pressure into Q2, with December forecast at 1.86 million TEUs. Source: JOC
  • Forwarders warn that a 2026 return to Red Sea transits could send a new wave of cargo into a European port network already running at capacity. The added pressure would extend bottlenecks, fill yards fast and tighten equipment supply in Asia as vessels shift between African and Suez routings. Source: JOC

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